Monday, October 14, 2019

Shaky at Centre Back, Confusion at Full Back, Stale in the Centre & The Harry Kane Dilemma. Issues Facing Southgate ahead of tonight's Game in Bulgaria


England travel to the Vasil Levski National Stadium tonight with a raft of unaswered questions hanging over them after an appalling performance in their last game against the Czech Republic.
Friday night represented England and Southgate’s toughest examination in what is an incredibly kind qualifying group. And it is an examination they failed horribly.

Critics of this England side have long been arguing that a potent attack and favourable fixture list have been papering over the cracks present in this England side. However, it would have been impossible to envisage just how long the list of negatives from the performance would be in the build up to kickoff.

Southgate has faced a lot of criticism, much of it justified, for his team selection and decision to experiment in a game whioch could have guaranteed progression to the Euro’s. This was his best, and arguably chance to test his first choice 11 in a competitive fixture agianst challenging opposition before England kickoff their Euro 2020 campaign at Wembley next year and he blew it.

It was a game for fine tuning not mass experimentation. During the World Cup England had found a blueprint and system that carried them all the way to the semi finals. This had since been refined, converting from a wingback system to 4-3-3 during the Nations League with wins over Spain and Croatia in competitive fixtures clearly indicating that there was something working which could be built upon.

The time between the World Cup ending and Euro 2020 starting should have been regarded as a time to hone England’s approach. Indeed, Friday should have been all about refining the current system in the face of concerns from the Kosovo game. It was not a time to embark on trying to implement a third new formation in the past 15 months.

Tactical issues were not limited to the choice of formation. In attack England are starting to look painfully one dimensional. They seem to have one move, which is repeated over and over. Kane drops deep, picks up possession, then looks to play either Sterling or Sancho in behind. It worked for the penalty but rarely after that. Once the Czech Republic had found a method to counter this approach there was a real lack of imagination and variation from England in attack.

Whilst on the topic of Kane his standing and position within the national side is becoming slightly problematic.

Firstly let’s get one thing clear, Harry Kane is a world class player. Part of what makes him so great is his wide skillset. He has the ability to be both a creator and out and out number ‘9’. Sadly, as his stature at both club and country has risen to near untouchable status, he appears to want to focus almost exclusively on the former.

Kane sees himself as a hybrid between a number ‘9’ and ‘10.’ However, it is clear that he favours playing a deeper role, even though it was his exploits as a goalscoring centre forward that first brought him international acclaim. At times, like on Friday night, when plan ‘A’ is not working England need Kane to revert back to the number 9 we saw between 2014 and 2018. They need variation from Kane, with him running both at, and in behind, defenders. Sadly, this appears to be something he is currently unwilling to do and is quickly becoming a facet of his game confined to the past.

Then there is the fullback situation. In Trent Alexander-Arnold England have arguably the best right back in Europe and without doubt the most creative. At left back, in Ben Chilwell, England have a young, developing player who is bang in form at a club flying high in the Premier League.

The decision therefore to pick Trippier and Rose in the fullback positions was puzzling before kickoff and looks an even worse call in the aftermath. This was a chance to see how two players, who should surely be considered England’s first choice fullbacks, would fair against decent, if unspectacular opposition. Now though, it is an opportunity which has passed Southgate by.

Then there is the problem at centre back. Harry Maguire’s place in the side is currently beyond doubt, however the selection of Michael Keane alongside him was surely a mistake. England are missing their most naturally gifted defender in John Stones through injury, and while Joe Gomez has not been a regular starter for his side, he would surely have been the better option for this game.

Keane has never looked comfortable in an England shirt and at club level is struggling in an underperforming Everton side. Gomez on the other hand is only being kept out of the Liverpool side by arguably the best central defensive partnership in world football. He is also blessed with pace which is something that Maguire is clearly lacking. Given England’s struggles in defence Soutgate would be wise to give Gomez a run out in the side this evening.

Operating just in front of the defence the double pivot axis of Jordan Henderson and Declan Rice was an abject failure. Southgate suggested that this change was to provide England with extra defensive stability in response to the three goals conceded against Kosovo.

Sadly neither player could do anything to stem the flow of Czech attacks, with Rice appearing to be constantly overrun in the first half in particular. Not only that but the approach also limited England’s pressing threat, something that has been so important to their relative success in the past 18 months or so.

Furthermore, the combination stunted England’s ball progression in possession. Both players played exclusively on the same line. Neither appeared willing or able to drop in between the centre backs to allow the fullbacks to push high, nor did they look to receive the ball beyond the Czech Repubic’s first line of defence.

The end result was a tedius display of passing without purpose inside the England half. Rice and Henderson barely played a forward pass between them in the first half and it was as if we had been transported back in time to the timid England of the Sven Goran-Eriksson era rather than watching this supposedly bold and adventurous side Southgate has been working to create.

Southgate knows that every decision he makes tonight will be intensely scrutinised by media and fans alike. Goodwill still remains from England’s enthralling World Cup campain, however any more peformances like Friday night and this will quickly evaporate. Even a positive performance and result is unlikely to be enough to convert the doubters, and may even add fuel to the fire of the argument that the boss got it horribly wrong for England’s toughest test in this group. Manager and players alike know that anything less than a win tonight, while not fatal to their chances of winning, will be viewed as unforgivable.

Sunday, October 13, 2019

How Do you Solve a Problem Like Louis Reed's Suspension?


Reed’s sending off and subsequent suspension for the trip to Gillingham presents Fergie with a major tactical dilemma. He has favoured consistency of selection and starting formation for the last 10 matches, with this approach being rewarded with an excellent run of form firing Posh up to 3rd in the table. However, with no natural replacement for Reed in his favoured diamond formation, it will be interesting to see how Ferguson decides to shuffle the pack on Saturday. Below it’s an assessment of some of his options, including how likely each is to happen.

Option 1: Straight swap, other ten players remain the same, replacing player comes in at base of the diamond.

There are probably two options Fergie could take should he strive to maintain consistency of selection and limit disruption to his side.

Kyle Barker at the base of midfield

This would be the bold, adventurous and somewhat unlikely solution. Kyle Barker is just 18 years old but was exceptional in his first start against Arsenal U21s in the Leasing.com trophy. In his lone performance of the season he demonstrated excellent tactical discipline as he marshalled the Posh midfield also showing his extreme comfort on the ball and the bravery to play forward passes through the lines as the game wore on. He provides a slightly different option to Reed, as he favours keeping play ticking over through a succession of short passes as opposed to looking for the long, defence splitting pass. It would however be a huge gamble for Ferguson to throw him in for his first league appearance in a potentially tough and feisty away fixture to Gillingham.

Likeliness Rating: Exciting but unlikely. 3/10

Woodyard at base of midfield

The former skipper appeared to be an outcast in this new look Ferguson side when he was transfer listed after disappointing in the opening two games of the season. He has come back into contention in recent games, coming on as a sub with the intention of solidifying the midfield as Posh looked to see out wins. An honest, hard-working and combative player however his selection in this role would surely be a step backwards.

Last season demonstrated that Posh get bogged down in their own half too often with Woodyard at the base of midfield, hamstrung by his limited vision, passing and technical ability. If he is to have a place in this Posh side then it should remain as a late sub to see out games. It is possible Fergie will opt for his experience and tough tackling skillset against a direct Gillingham side. However, the fact Ferguson chose Barker to play at the base of the diamond instead of Woodyard against Arsenal U21s suggests he may have seen enough in the past to put him off returning to this option.

Likeliness Rating: An unimaginative option but possible. 5/10

Update 18/10/19

Niall Mason at base of midfield

When first reviewing the solutions I considered Mason playing on the right of midfield with Knight at the base and Nathan Thompson coming in at right back. What I failed to consider was the prospect of Mason playing at the base of midfield himself. This option has been mooted by Fergie throughout the week and now looks perhaps the most likely solution. The key benefit over playing Mason on the right of midfield is that avoids disrupting Knight's position in the side. Moreover Mason has both the the defensive attributes, comfort on the ball and passing ability to fulfil many of the same tasks as Louis Reed. Perhaps the only question mark is whether Mason has sufficient understanding of a tactically demanding role.

Likeliness Rating: Hinted at by Fergie and the one I'd put money on now. 7/10


Option 2: Drop Knight to base of diamond, bring in a replacement on right of midfield

Knight is a player who clearly has the ability on the ball and defensive discipline to fulfil the role at the base of the diamond, however given his importance to the balance of the side on the right of midfield Posh would have to select a player who can replace his energy and work rate in that position.

Joe Ward on right of midfield

Perhaps the most likely option. Was Ferguson’s first choice to step in when Boyd was injured and although at times he looked uncomfortable playing on the left he still managed to deliver two assists in that role. Would be far more comfortable playing on his natural side and was Posh’s Mr Consistent last season. Probably the player with the work rate and skillset to most closely replicate Knight's function in the side but with arguably brings greater attacking threat/ouput in final third.

Likeliness Rating: Wouldn’t let anyone down. 7/10

Niall Mason on right of midfield, Nathan Thompson at right back

A left field option but one which would make a lot of sense. Niall Mason has both defensive qualities and ability on the ball to replace Knight on the right of midfield, while Fergie will surely be keen to get minutes into Nathan Thompson who will not accept sitting on the bench for the rest of the season. Fergie has previous moved fullbacks into midfield with Russell Martin and clearly sees Mason as versatile player having employed him at left both against and for Doncaster. May not be as unlikely an option as it first seems.

Likeliness Rating: A creative solution and not totally implausible. 5/10

Woodyard on right of midfield

He played there against Arsenal U21s and did OK without pulling up any trees. Would ensure balance defensively and would bring similar work rate and energy to the role. It was noticeable in the Leasing.com game however how little Woodyard offers going forward and he lacks Knight’s dynamism on the ball. Would however be a better option than employing Woodyard in the ‘6’ role if Fergie did want to introduce his battling qualities and leadership to the side.

Likeliness Rating: More likely than him playing at the base of midfield. 6/10

Harrison Burrows on right of midfield

Another young Posh midfielder full of potential who would be chomping at the bit to be involved. An excellent cameo at MK Dons propelled him into the consciousness of many Posh fans, however he did little to enhance his case in trophy games against Northampton and Arsenal U21s. Would be a surprise to see him trusted from the start of this game but may be one to feature from the bench.

Likeliness Rating: Needed to do more in starts in Leasing.com Trophy 3/10


Option 3: Switch formation to 4-2-3-1 which saw Posh score twice against Lincoln, with Dembele coming in on the left wing

A idea floated by some sections of the Posh fan base following Dembele’s impact off the bench yesterday. Again there are probably two ways this could be implemented.

Dembele only personnel change, Eisa drops into 10 role with Maddison on right and Knight/Boyd in deep midfield roles

This is essentially the same setup as Posh tried to implement at the start of the season and resulted in them losing the opening two games. Knight at the base of midfield instead of Woodyard would be an improvement while Boyd would likely perform better in the deep role were he also given license to push on in possession. The key flaw is that Eisa was not suited to the role as second striker and was virtually non-existent in Posh’s opening two games. He has excelled as an out and out striker and this means it is pretty much a non-starter to think Posh would switch him back to his previous role.

Likeliness Rating: Didn’t work before and no reason to think Fergie will revisit this system. 2/10

Eisa drops to the bench, Boyd plays as ‘10’ with Knight and either Barker or Woodyard playing in deep lying midfield roles

This one may have legs in the future, especially when Reed returns to the starting 11. Given the positive impact this switch had on Saturday, and the mouth-watering prospect of having Boyd, Maddison and Dembele all playing behind Toney there is a good chance that this set up will be revisited at times throughout the season. If either Toney or Eisa were to suffer an injury this would likely be Posh’s go to formula.

 There are two key reasons why this approach won’t be used on Saturday. The first is that Fergie may struggle to find one player he trusts at ‘6’, let alone two, in Reed's absence. The second, and arguably more important reason, is that this would involve dropping Mo Eisa to the bench. Every time Eisa fails to score his critics start throwing accusations of him not being consistent enough. However, he has 9 league goals to his name already this season and has scored in 7 of the 10 games since Posh switched to the diamond. Dropping him on this form would be unthinkable.

Likeliness Rating: Won’t happen. 1/10

Wednesday, October 2, 2019

Youth Watch v Arsenal U21s


A Peterborough United side full of fringe players and youth prospects turned a 40 minutes schooling at the hands of a young Arsenal side into a 1-0 win with a strong second half performance. Many of the Posh youngsters acquitted themselves well against their more illustrious counterparts. Below is a summary of how the younger players in the side got on:

Kyle Barker

Game in numbers:
6 Interceptions
2 Tackles
1 Dribble
1 Dribbled Past
1 Dispossessed

It was an excellent performance from the young midfielder, tasked with playing the pivot role on his first competitive start. Showed impressive tactical discipline as he marshalled the centre of the park and held the midfield together well. Shifted the ball side to side cleanly in the first half and grew in confidence in the second as he started playing lateral balls forward to break the Arsenal defensive lines. Was caught out on a couple of occasions when he wanted slightly too much time on the ball but one would imagine that this will become an infrequent occurrence as he adapts to life in the first team. Could well have done enough to now be considered Reed’s natural understudy as no other player in the first team appears to have the requisite skillset to play that role (although Fergie may fancy trying Boyd in the role should Reed be unavailable). Barker offered a different playing style from deep as he played short, precise and quick passes to keep the ball flowing, as opposed to the long, defence splitting passes favoured by Reed or Maddison when dropping deep. It made quite a pleasant change to have this variation in play. If there was a weakness on show it was that he appeared a yard or two short on pace when tracking players running beyond him.

Rating: 8/10


Serhat Tasdemir

Game in numbers:
5 Shots
2 Shots on Target
3 Key Passes
2 Dribbles
1 Tackle
1 Dispossessed

Followed up a strong cameo on Saturday with another good performance last night. Posh struggled to get him on the ball in the first half as they were starved of possession however he still showed flashes of quality, epitomised when he rolled the his marker, burst forward and released a disappointingly weak shot at goal. Carried far more of an influence on the game in the second half. He showed intelligence to take up good spaces in between the Arsenal midfield and defensive lines and was always an option for the Posh centre backs and Barker. Tasdemir rarely seems to waste possession but still looks to play incisive passes when possible. It’s also a real challenge to try and knock him off the ball as he demonstrates size and strength expected of one far beyond his years. The biggest criticism would be that he finished weakly on a number of occasions and this appears to be an area of his game which must improve, especially if Posh’s dependence on their front 3 for goals continues.

Rating: 8/10


Sam Cartwright

Game in numbers:
2 Tackles
1 Interception
2 Dribbled Past

Another who did not look out of place on debut. Generally defended OK barring a couple of slightly shaky moments and one potential penalty shout against him. One would suspect that League One strikers would provide a different and all together tougher test than he faced last night however. It was in possession where he really excelled. Was always looking to receive the ball of his keeper and fellow defenders, showing an understanding of when to step up and when to drop deep. Passed cleanly, and demonstrated an awareness of when to play safe and when to play forwards, especially as options opened up in front of him in the second half to allow him to do the latter. Definitely a defender of promise, and although I would have doubts about whether he would be ready for the step up to League One just yet, the loan move to Kettering should provide him with valuable first team experience and the opportunity to kick on.

Rating: 7/10

Idris Kanu

Game in numbers:
3 Shots
1 Shot on Target
1 Tackle
1 Dispossessed

Barely had a kick for 40 minutes of the first half before he started to drop deep in search of possession. Carried more of a threat second half but to nowhere near the extent of his last start against Northampton. Clearly possesses good strength and pace, can link play and is keen to take players on in an attempt to make things happen. His decision making and end product needs to improve however as seems to struggle to read when it is best to pass/dribble/shoot. Looks an exciting prospect and much improved on the player we saw glimpses of last season.

Rating: 6/10


Harrison Burrows

Game in numbers:
3 Shots
0 Shots on Target
1 Key Pass
4 Interceptions
3 Tackles
1 Dispossessed

A frustrating night for a player who showed flashes of real quality in a cameo at MK Dons but has struggled to shine on his two starts in this competition. He was better defensively in this match than against Northampton but almost anonymous in possession during the first half. Posh would have hoped for a lot more from him going forwards as they knew they would lack creativity on the other side of midfield with Woodyard in that role. Showed more output on the ball second half with a couple of drives forward, one pass laying on a chance for a teammate and three shots. He is a player who needs to show more willingness/improvement to pick up the ball deep and transfer it forwards as he currently only looks at his most comfortable when playing in the opposition third. Fergie would probably have been hoping to see more from him in this match as Posh look short of options on the left hand side of midfield. It is however easy to forget that he is just 17 years of age and there appears to be real talent there if nurtured correctly.

Rating: 6/10