Friday, September 13, 2019

Match Preview: Posh v Rochdale


Posh Preview
Posh head into the Rochdale game on a run of four wins to nil in all competitions and should be well rested having not had a competitive fixture for 11 days. Gaffer Darren Ferguson will be hoping the extended break will not dent the momentum his side had gathered and looking forward to the match said:
“They know what they are doing in possession and when they haven’t got the ball. They will be tough opponents.

“We will obviously be confident, but I’ve already spoken to the players about not treating Rochdale any differently to Sunderland.
“There cannot be a case of believing ‘ah it’s only Rochdale’ because there will be times when they have good possession of the ball and they are capable of hurting us if we let our standards drop.
“I also watched Rochdale’s last win at Southend and they were again excellent. They play through the lines and every player knows their job.
“Obviously I would have preferred to have a game last Saturday as we had some good momentum after three wins in a row. The lads look in great nick though and they should be fresh and raring to go at the start of a big week.
“The good thing about having no league game is being able to see the players who haven’t been in the side in action in other matches, and I’ve been pleased with them.”

Team News
Frazer Blake-Tracy remains unavailable following a calf injury picked up in the week building up to Posh’s last league game against Sunderland. Despite a few unnamed players picking up ‘niggles’ it is expected that the remainder of the squad should be available for selection. Ferguson’s biggest selection headache is likely to be at right back where Nathan Thompson is pushing his first league start after playing 60 minutes against Northampton in the Leasing.com trophy.

Rochdale have no fresh injury concerns going into the game and are likely to name a similar side to the one which won 3-0 at Southend United having made wholesale changes to the side which lost a midweek fixture to Manchester City U21s in the Leasing.com Trophy.

Opposition Report
Rochdale have enjoyed a promising start to the season and are currently sitting just two places below Posh at 11th in the table having won 2 and drawn 3 of their opening 6 fixtures. ‘The Dale’ have also earned themselves a reputation for playing an eye-catching brand of short passing, attractive football with some commentators now referring to them as ‘Guardiola’s Rochdale’ with only a slight hint of irony.

Likely 11
Robert Sanchez

                Jimmy Keohane   Jimmy McNulty     Eoghan O’Connell   Rhys Norrington-Davies

Aaron Morley          M.J. Williams

Stephen Dooley   Callum Camps        Matt Done

   Ian Henderson

Style of play characteristics
Short Passing
Maintain Possession
Work ball into box
High press
Play with width and focus attacks down the flanks
Attacking fullbacks
Weak aerially
        
Danger Man
Experienced forward Ian Henderson notched his 100th League goal for Rochdale during their 3-0 win against Southend United last time out. Now 34, Henderson may not possess searing pace however his link up play is key to Dale’s possession based style and he remains their most potent goal threat when in and around the area.

Ones to Watch
Attacking fullback Rhys Norrington-Davies is a major threat down the Rochdale left. Good in possession and keen to dribble forwards, Norrington-Davies is vital to his sides width and attacking impetus, often taking up positions as an auxiliary winger in advance of a slightly narrower attacking midfielder. The left back has already put up some impressive numbers this season with 1 goal and 2 assists. He also averages a whopping 1.7 key passes per game alongside 1 successful dribble and 5.2 crosses each match.

Defensive midfielder M.J. Williams is the backbone of the side. Strong in the tackle and excellent in possession he is key to both breaking up opposition attacks and starting his own sides build up play. In possession he averages 53.2 successful passes per game and has impressively connected with 2 out of every 3 long passes he attempts.

Key Matchups
Ivan Toney v Jimmy McNulty: For all their positive characteristics this season Rochdale have struggled to deal with aerial attacks. Expect Posh to look to capitalise on this with long diagonal balls aimed in the direction of Ivan Toney. Both McNulty and O’Connell have been far from dominant in the air. McNulty especially, who is 5cm shorter than Toney, has won an average of 3 aerial duels per game, losing 1.3. For contrast Beevers has won an average of 6 aerial duels losing just 0.8. Expect Toney, who himself averages 6.3 successful aerial duels a match, to target McNulty in the air and how McNulty copes Posh’s human bulldozer will be a key dynamic of the game.

Callum Camps v Louis Reed: Attacking midfielder Camps is arguably Rochdale’s most in form player. He is vital to their attacking drive and has 2 goals and 3 assists to his name already this season. Often arriving into the box late and pushing up into a second striker role alongside Henderson, Camps has taken more shots than any other Rochdale player and also averages a very impressive 1.5 key passes a match. Reed, as Posh’s deepest midfielder, has demonstrated much improved defensive skills this season and how well he marshals Camp we be vital to Posh’s hopes of nullifying Dale’s attacking threat.

Head-to-Head record
Won 25 Drawn 16 Lost 12

Last Time Out
Steve Evans’s Posh side secured a 2-1 win in a January confrontation most notable for Lee Tomlin scoring his first goal since returning to the club on loan 12 days earlier. 10 of the 17 Posh players who featured in the matchday squad that day have since left the club with Toney and Maddison likely to be the only 2 players who started that game in the first XI tomorrow.

Score Prediction
3-1 Posh. Although Rochdale are a hugely impressive side, Posh are bang inform. Rochdale’s open and expansive style of play should also suit Posh perfectly as they will look to win the ball high up the pitch before attacking at speed to exploit the space available. Expect a hugely entertaining game between two sides exhibiting very modern playing philosophies.

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